Wednesday, December 30, 2009

RW Predictions for 2010

It's that time of year when we are bombarded with Top 10 lists, who died lists and predictions for the upcoming year. Since we didn't want to be left out of all of this fun, here is our list of predictions for the homebuilding industry in 2010.
  1. The extension of the $8,000 first time homebuyer tax credit (and the new $6,500 tax credit) will get extended again. However, this time, the amount of the credit will be reduced and eventually phased out when the housing market really recovers in 2011.
  2. Speaking of the housing market recovering, we don't see a real recovery happening until 2011. However, we do see some improvement in 2010.
  3. Both finished lots and raw, entitled land is beginning to sell at much reduced prices and this will continue throughout 2010. Units on these lots will begin to hit the market by mid-2010 with much lower sales prices. These low base prices, coupled with the tax credits and low interest rates will continue to drive the new home market throughout the next year.
  4. Some municipalities will "adjust" their impact and building permit fees in order to jump start homebuilding in their communities. However, incredibly, most cities and villages will maintain their status quo with fees stating that their budgets are built around builders and developers paying "their fair share."
  5. Fundamentals will be the key. Great location, great product design and great value have always been the keys to a successful project, that is until the mid-2000's, when just about everything sold. Fundamentals are back.... in a big way.
  6. The buzzword for 2010 is stability. The job market will eventually stabilize, the housing market will stabilize and the national economy will stabilize. Remember, we need to stabilize before we can grow. 2011 will be the year of growth.
We hope everyone has a happy new year and a successful 2010!

Thursday, December 10, 2009

A Great Event

For those of you who attended the Navigating the Chicago Real Estate Market in 2010 event at the Mid America Club, thank you for attending and we hope you enjoyed the event. For those of you who missed it, here is a brief recap. The first panel discussed the changing landscape of both land and product design. The slides from the first panel presentation can be downloaded from the left side of this website. If you have further questions about the topics of this panel, please contact Lance Ramella from RW Real Estate Advisors at (630)571-6616.

The second panel discussed the legal ramifications of foreclosures properties, what to do about existing SSA's, etc. If you would like to discuss these issues further, please contact Bruce Goldsmith from Dykema at (630) 577-2811.

The third panel had a wide ranging discussion covering everything from how banks are dealing with assets, what are the pitfalls you should look for when working a project out, to an insiders view of why some municipalities are not willing to decrease their permit fees. To find out more about these topics, please contact Carl Peterson from Encap at (815) 899-1621.

We are planning on having another seminar this Spring with all new panels and topics, so if you couldn't make it last week, please plan on attending in April.